Is it Time to Cash in Your Chips on Nvidia?

For much of this year, artificial intelligence has been the dominant theme driving markets higher. By boosting productivity, AI promises to help companies trim costs, widen margins, and scale output. Lately, though, the AI revolution is getting a second look. The massive data centres required to power AI are hitting a wall of local opposition. […]

Don’t Fall for the September Effect

By: Jeff Pollock It’s difficult to dispute the seasonal weakness that September historically accompanies. Many call it the “September Effect”. Going back almost a century, it’s the only month of the year when the S&P 500 statistically posts a loss more often than a gain. Since 1930, September has delivered a median return of -0.4%. […]

There’s No Margin of Safety When You Buy Using Leverage

Buying stock on margin occurs when you borrow money to purchase securities. It’s called leverage because it magnifies your results in both directions.  Warren Buffett has said “if you’re smart, you don’t need it; if you’re dumb, you shouldn’t use it.” For example, imagine you have $100,000 of your own money to invest but you […]

Sorry to Burst Your Bubble, but This Isn’t 1999

Asset bubbles occur when speculation and emotion drive prices far beyond their fundamental value. With the S&P 500 delivering double-digit gains in 2023, 2024, and 2025, it’s easy to see why some assume we’re in one today.  While every bubble has its own backstory, they all follow a familiar pattern. Here are some of the […]

UnitedHealth Group Has Made a Speedy Recovery

Health insurer UnitedHealth Group (“UNH”) has been one of the best performing stocks so far this year. However, it hasn’t been a straight line up. Following the release of a disastrous quarterly earnings report in April 2025, the market overreacted by crashing the stock price almost 30% in a matter of weeks, marking it a […]

How Fed Up Will the Market Get After a September Rate Hike?

Many have said “bull markets don’t die of old age; central bankers kill them.” The conventional wisdom is that once rates start to head higher, stocks are less attractive because the cost of borrowing becomes more expensive and investors are offered an income-producing alternative by the bond market. However, history says they are wrong. The […]

Should You Expect Astronomical Returns From SpaceX?

SpaceX shares made their long anticipated debut to the public market on Friday, June 12.  The demand was unprecedented. Not only was it the largest offering in history after raising over $75 billion, but brokerage firm Charles Schwab also said it was the fifth most active day in their company’s 50-year history. SpaceX’s pre-open price […]

High Gas Prices May Drive a Quick Exit from Iran

The average price of gas at the pump for U.S. consumers is up 30% since the year began. Most of that occurred recently, following the strikes against Iran.  If you follow the prediction markets, it doesn’t look very likely that the Republicans will win the House or even the Senate this fall. Current odds suggest […]

Musical Chairs at the Federal Reserve Historically Sings Well for the Market

While leadership changes at the Fed can spark uncertainty, the S&P 500 historically rallies whenever a new U.S. Federal Reserve Chair is appointed. In fact, going back to 1970, the S&P 500 has gained 12.7% in the twelve months that follow. This data is particularly timely, as Jerome Powell’s term ends on May 15, 2026. […]

Expect Powerful Gains from Edison International in 2026

This time last year, California was engulfed in devastating wildfires. Thousands of acres of property were destroyed, and it didn’t take long for fingers to point at Edison International (“EIX”). Consequently, the stock plummeted over 30% over a matter of days, wiping out almost $10 billion in the stock’s market value. The investigation into whether […]