There’s No Margin of Safety When You Buy Using Leverage

Buying stock on margin occurs when you borrow money to purchase securities. It’s called leverage because it magnifies your results in both directions.  Warren Buffett has said “if you’re smart, you don’t need it; if you’re dumb, you shouldn’t use it.” For example, imagine you have $100,000 of your own money to invest but you […]

Sorry to Burst Your Bubble, but This Isn’t 1999

Asset bubbles occur when speculation and emotion drive prices far beyond their fundamental value. With the S&P 500 delivering double-digit gains in 2023, 2024, and 2025, it’s easy to see why some assume we’re in one today.  While every bubble has its own backstory, they all follow a familiar pattern. Here are some of the […]

How Fed Up Will the Market Get After a September Rate Hike?

Many have said “bull markets don’t die of old age; central bankers kill them.” The conventional wisdom is that once rates start to head higher, stocks are less attractive because the cost of borrowing becomes more expensive and investors are offered an income-producing alternative by the bond market. However, history says they are wrong. The […]

Scotiabank has the Cheques and Balances to Justify its Valuation

Yes, Canadian banks are trading at valuation multiples unseen in years. However, comparing these multiples to their historical valuations may not make all that much sense. The banking industry has changed drastically over the years.  Decades ago, banks were mostly just mortgage lenders. They would take in deposits from savers, keep a very small fraction […]