Don’t Fall for the September Effect

By: Jeff Pollock It’s difficult to dispute the seasonal weakness that September historically accompanies. Many call it the “September Effect”. Going back almost a century, it’s the only month of the year when the S&P 500 statistically posts a loss more often than a gain. Since 1930, September has delivered a median return of -0.4%. […]

Dream Industrial REIT is Delivering the Goods

Dream Industrial REIT owns and operates a portfolio of several hundred industrial properties totaling over 75 million square feet across urban markets in Canada (62%), Europe (25%), and the U.S. (13%). Last quarter, the REIT raised its monthly distribution for the first time in 13 years. Investors currently enjoy a 5% annual yield, returning $500 […]

There’s No Margin of Safety When You Buy Using Leverage

Buying stock on margin occurs when you borrow money to purchase securities. It’s called leverage because it magnifies your results in both directions.  Warren Buffett has said “if you’re smart, you don’t need it; if you’re dumb, you shouldn’t use it.” For example, imagine you have $100,000 of your own money to invest but you […]

UnitedHealth Group Has Made a Speedy Recovery

Health insurer UnitedHealth Group (“UNH”) has been one of the best performing stocks so far this year. However, it hasn’t been a straight line up. Following the release of a disastrous quarterly earnings report in April 2025, the market overreacted by crashing the stock price almost 30% in a matter of weeks, marking it a […]

Why Gas Prices Rocket Up but Feather Down

Drivers in the Greater Toronto Area got a rude awakening at the pumps yesterday. Thanks to escalating geopolitical tensions in Iran, gas prices spiked by 8 cents per litre overnight, pushing the average price for regular fuel up to roughly $1.73 per litre, leaving many motorists feeling gouged at the pumps. Since the conflict in […]

Should You Expect Astronomical Returns From SpaceX?

SpaceX shares made their long anticipated debut to the public market on Friday, June 12.  The demand was unprecedented. Not only was it the largest offering in history after raising over $75 billion, but brokerage firm Charles Schwab also said it was the fifth most active day in their company’s 50-year history. SpaceX’s pre-open price […]

Scotiabank has the Cheques and Balances to Justify its Valuation

Yes, Canadian banks are trading at valuation multiples unseen in years. However, comparing these multiples to their historical valuations may not make all that much sense. The banking industry has changed drastically over the years.  Decades ago, banks were mostly just mortgage lenders. They would take in deposits from savers, keep a very small fraction […]

Search No Further than Alphabet (formerly Google) for Your AI Exposure

Alphabet (formerly known as Google) announced its plans Monday evening to raise cash by selling $80 billion in stock. We were surprised by the news, especially for a company that generates $165 billion in cash flow each year. Furthermore, they’ve only tapped the equity market twice before — once when it went public in 2004 […]

Will the Market have Separation Anxiety this October?

On October 19, 2026, Alberta will have a referendum about whether it should have a referendum to separate from Canada. The exact wording on the ballot for one of the ten questions will read: Should Alberta remain a province of Canada, or should the Government of Alberta commence the legal process required under the Canadian […]

How We’re Using AI at Our Firm

Lately, many people have asked how we’re using artificial intelligence (“AI”) behind the scenes. We’ve embraced this new technology where it makes sense, and it has provided a noticeable boost to our operational efficiency. Tasks that used to take us hours can now be completed in a fraction of the time. This frees up our […]

68% of the Time, “Selling in May” is a Losing Bet

You’ve likely heard the old Wall Street adage that suggests you should “sell in May and go away”. The strategy sounds simple enough because it asks an investor to exit the stock market in early May and not return until the end of October to avoid a perceived summer slump. At Schneider & Pollock Wealth […]

Did these Auditors Just Burn a Bridge?

Several years ago, a friend reached out about a distressing personal matter involving her mother’s retirement savings. Her mother, a client at one of Canada’s “Big Six” banks, had her savings spread across four different mutual funds, and two of those four funds became suddenly frozen. (Note: Mutual funds are pooled vehicles and their underlying […]

Does the Crude Awakening in Oil Prices Still Make Suncor a Buy?

Even after the Strait of Hormuz eventually reopens and Iranian tensions ease, it’s doubtful that the West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”) oil price will decline to its pre-strike level of $65. Instead, we expect today’s $98 price to settle in the $80–90 per barrel range. There are several reasons why we expect a higher floor for […]

Things We Won’t Do as a Portfolio Manager

In the world of behavioral finance, there is a well-documented phenomenon known as loss aversion. Nobel Prize-winning psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky found that the pain of a loss is psychologically twice as powerful as the joy of an equivalent gain. Statistically, most investors require at least a 2-to-1 gain to offset the emotional […]

The Crude Facts About Venezuela’s Impact on Canadian Oil

Over the weekend, the United States took control of Venezuela’s oil assets. Given Venezuela’s vast oil reserves, it has naturally raised questions about whether Canadian oil producers should be concerned. On paper, Venezuela’s oil reserves are enormous. The country holds close to 17% of the world’s oil reserves, roughly 300 billion barrels, more than Saudi […]

Don’t Put All Your Bricks in One Basket

Canadian real estate prices took off during the last two decades alongside ultra low interest rates. Many people sought to buy a second property in a real estate market that once seemed invincible. Lately, however, many regret that decision as prices have come back down to earth amid higher borrowing costs. As a portfolio manager […]