Santa Claus is Coming to Town

While both the S&P 500 and S&P/TSX Composite Index are flat so far this month, December is historically a great month for stocks.  In fact, over the last hundred years, the only decade to post a negative median return during December was in the 1930s. All decades since — from the 1940s until the 2020s […]

More Growth is in the Pipeline for South Bow Shareholders After Our +31% Return

When our clients first became shareholders of South Bow (SOBO) on September 25, 2024, it wasn’t by choice. The new company was a spinoff from TC Energy. To be frank, we weren’t expecting much.  Expanding SOBO’s Keystone pipeline had been a political football for years. The Bush administration started the process. When the application was […]

Questions from Prospective Clients

Over the past few months, we’ve met with many prospective clients who often share similar questions. We’ve collected the most common ones to provide a clear view of how we operate. When did you start the company? We were first registered on February 1, 2022. Currently, we are registered to do business in Ontario, Alberta, […]

Tariffs Are Headed to the Bench

We anticipate the U.S. Supreme Court will invalidate President Trump’s tariffs early next year, sending markets higher. The legality of widespread tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (“IEEPA”) is now before the United States Supreme Court. The question is whether the law intended for specific emergencies allows the President to levy unbounded […]

Interest Rates May Be on Pause For Now

Last week, both the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve cut their benchmark interest rates by a quarter percentage point. Though we’re two separate countries, both central banks are contending with challenges that monetary policy alone cannot fix. In Canada, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem emphasized that the 25-basis-point cut, which brings […]

Is Bitcoin Digital Gold or a Digital Tulip?

I have trouble keeping up with the reasons why Bitcoin moves in either direction. It seemed correlated with the Nasdaq coming out of the pandemic; then was compared to “digital gold”; and recently it was a hedge against government mismanagement. Its bull case seems to change each day and I’m not embarrassed to say that […]

Can Algonquin Power Shoot the Lights Out?

It’s not often that a stock jumps almost 7% in a single day because of an analyst upgrade. Nevertheless, that’s what happened on October 1 when Desjardins published a note about Algonquin Power & Utilities (“AQN”).  “We are upgrading AQN to ‘Buy’ from ‘Hold,’ largely due to compelling valuation following recent weakness, strong management, and […]

Would “Big Daddy” Gardiner (Expressway) Buy the Banks Today?

Last month, at a Rotary Club meeting, I found myself sitting next to someone I hadn’t met before. After asking about my profession, he leaned in a few minutes later and said, “Is it true that to get rich, you should only buy Canadian banks?” Well, I know of at least one person who rode […]

Maple Leaf Foods’ Shareholders are Tasting an 80% Gain This Year

To my surprise, Maple Leaf Foods (“MFI”) has been our strongest performer this year, up nearly 80%. On February 26, 2024, we started buying MFI for clients at $22.82. At the time, the stock was about as unpopular with investors as I was with the ladies in high school. Just two trading days earlier, a […]

Aecon Group Will Help Power Canada’s Next Infrastructure Boom

Canada is entering a historic infrastructure boom. Electricity demand is expected to surge 25% by 2030, driven by artificial intelligence, electrification, and manufacturing. Aecon Group is perfectly positioned to build the critical infrastructure required to meet this exploding need. CEO Jean-Louis Servranckx recently said he’s “not worried about [revenue]”—and with good reason. Aecon’s backlog—the work […]

Pizza Pizza Delivered a Double-Digit Return After Our Tip

As global fast food chains struggle, Pizza Pizza is quietly gaining ground—thanks in part to the growing “Buy Canada” sentiment. Back in February 2024, we published a blog titled “We Expect Pizza Pizza to Deliver”. Given the rising food inflation, higher interest rates, and shrinking household budgets, our thesis was that cheaper food would be […]