Does the Crude Awakening in Oil Prices Still Make Suncor a Buy?

Even after the Strait of Hormuz eventually reopens and Iranian tensions ease, it’s doubtful that the West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”) oil price will decline to its pre-strike level of $65. Instead, we expect today’s $98 price to settle in the $80–90 per barrel range. There are several reasons why we expect a higher floor for […]

Things We Won’t Do as a Portfolio Manager

In the world of behavioral finance, there is a well-documented phenomenon known as loss aversion. Nobel Prize-winning psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky found that the pain of a loss is psychologically twice as powerful as the joy of an equivalent gain. Statistically, most investors require at least a 2-to-1 gain to offset the emotional […]

Can Algonquin Power Shoot the Lights Out?

It’s not often that a stock jumps almost 7% in a single day because of an analyst upgrade. Nevertheless, that’s what happened on October 1 when Desjardins published a note about Algonquin Power & Utilities (“AQN”). (Disclosure: Clients, Jeff Pollock, and Sunni Schneider hold a financial interest in AQN as shareholders. No financial compensation was received […]

Maple Leaf Foods’ Shareholders are Tasting an 80% Gain This Year

To my surprise, Maple Leaf Foods (“MFI”) has been our strongest performer this year, up nearly 80%. (Disclosure: Clients, Jeff Pollock, and Sunni Schneider are shareholders of MFI. No compensation was received to write this blog.) On February 26, 2024, we started buying MFI for clients at $22.82. At the time, the stock was about […]

Lost in Translation: How Currency Can Wipe Out Your Wins

The financial crisis of 2008 was a defining moment for me as an investor. Watching the panic unfold on Wall Street, with banks teetering and markets swinging wildly, solidified my philosophy to buy when others are selling. One of my purchases during that period was Apple. In December 2008, I bought shares around $3.36 (adjusted […]

After Gaining +30%, is Canadian Utilities Running Out of Gas?

Our investment in Canadian Utilities (“CU”), which delivers gas and electricity, in November 2023 was based on a straightforward premise: its attractive 5.7% dividend yield positioned it as a prime beneficiary of anticipated interest rate cuts. We believed falling rates would naturally enhance the appeal of high-yielding dividend stocks like CU for income investors seeking […]