Things We Won’t Do as a Portfolio Manager

In the world of behavioral finance, there is a well-documented phenomenon known as loss aversion. Nobel Prize-winning psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky found that the pain of a loss is psychologically twice as powerful as the joy of an equivalent gain. Statistically, most investors require at least a 2-to-1 gain to offset the emotional […]

More Growth is in the Pipeline for South Bow Shareholders After Our +31% Return

When our clients first became shareholders of South Bow (SOBO) on September 25, 2024, it wasn’t by choice. The new company was a spinoff from TC Energy. To be frank, we weren’t expecting much. (Disclosure: Jeff Pollock and Sunni Schneider directly and indirectly hold a financial interest in South Bow as shareholders.) Expanding SOBO’s Keystone pipeline […]

Stock Prices Historically Get Sent to Detention in September

September has historically been a weak month for stocks, and this year’s sentiment will hinge on Jay Powell’s speech tomorrow at Jackson Hole Students aren’t the only ones uneasy about September—stocks often dread it too. Historically, it’s the worst month for the market. Since 1930, the S&P 500 has fallen about 55% of the time […]